College Basketball Best Bet: Wednesday, February 6

basketball in black and white

The time to fade me is now, if there was ever a time when it went away. After a great NFL regular season picking at 65-percent, the last three weeks of NFL playoffs kicked my ass. I went 0-4 on Divisional weekend, 0-2 on Championship Sunday, and bet on Jared F-ing Goff +3 in the Super Bowl.

Feel free to fade…

Especially now that I have the audacity to give out a college basketball play.

For the most part this year all of my college basketball picks have been piggybacking off of someone else’s handicap. That’s why there has not been a single college basketball pick on this site. However, today there is a total that I love, so here we go.

Wisconsin (-3) at Minnesota

Is there ever a better time to pick an UNDER than in a Big Ten game? Especially a B10 game featuring the stifling defense of Wisconsin.

Wisconsin currently ranks as the #6 team overall in defensive efficiency over at kenpom.com, while Minnesota ranks at #54 in offensive efficiency. So, Minnesota is decent to good on offense, but nothing special, meanwhile Wisconsin is at #26 in offensive efficiency which is impressive, but not scary as far as an OVER is concerned.

Minnesota, meanwhile, ranks #77 overall in defensive efficiency. Not outstanding, but they don’t slouch on defense either.

The total in this game is currently at 133. Here are the point totals in Wisconsin’s last nine games, dating back to the last time these two teams matched up in Madison:

  • Maryland at Wisconsin: 130
  • Wisconsin at Nebraska: 113
  • Northwestern at Wisconsin: 108
  • Wisconsin at Illinois: 132
  • Michigan at Wisconsin: 118
  • Wisconsin at Maryland: 124
  •  Purdue at Wisconsin: 164
  • Wisconsin at Penn State: 123
  • Minnesota at Wisconsin: 111

Only one time in the past nine Wisconsin games did a total go over 133, and the last time these two teams met it wasn’t even close to hitting the over.

Is this too easy? Is this why I’m square?

Probably.

The Pick: Wisconsin at Minnesota UNDER 133 – 2 units – WIN

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