After a nice 1-0 start last night with a Nashville victory over the Wild, we’re going right back to the well.
The Minnesota Wild were already a team I wanted to pick on due to their 27th ranked CF% and SCF% heading into last night, but now playing on back to back nights it’s even more inviting to bet against this team.
SCF%: Scoring Chances For Percentage; The percentage of all Scoring Chances that are taken by a team (SCF/(SCF + SCA))
Corsi = Shot attempts FOR – Shot Attempts AGAINST
CF%: Corsi For Percentage; The percentage of all shots that are taken by a team (CF/(CF + CA))
In the first edition of the NHL Power Rankings, I took at look at the top teams in SCF% and ranked #1 was the Arizona Coyotes. Yet, the Coyotes are just 1-3 despite this abundance of scoring chances. While that is an indictment on the team in one sense, it also means that they’re going to be undervalued, and that the goals should come soon.
Simultaneously fading the Wild on back-to-back nights, and backing the undervalued Coyotes, I love getting a plus-money line here.
Pick Against the Spread: Arizona Coyotes +135 at Minnesota Wild – 2.5 Units
The Square Bettor 