Tonight we get a unique match up between the two worst teams in the league in Expected Goals For Plus Minus as the Chicago Blackhawks host the Anaheim Ducks.
While these two teams rank back to back with the Hawks at 30 and the Ducks at 31, the Blackhawks are still well ahead of the Ducks at -5.83 xGF+/- compared to -9.53.
While this is largely a battle of bad vs bad, the Blackhawks hold a few other edges other than just xGF+/-. The Blackhawks have historically played much better at United Center, and they also rank better in multiple Corsi metrics so far this season.
In CF% the Blackhawks rank 12th in the league at 50.61 percent, compared to Anaheim which is ranked dead last in the league at 40.33 percent.
I expect Anaheim’s luck to run out tonight.
Picks Against the Spread: Chicago Blackhawks -140 – 4 Units