This week started a bit slow looking at the college slate. At first the only game I liked was Michigan -17, which means Maryland is probably the right side. As I listened to people throughout the week it turned out that there were quite a few games I like this Saturday. Not a big surprise.
Michigan -17 hosting Maryland – Maryland is not very good, outside of their ability to upset Texas every year. Michigan’s offense is playing well with Shea Patterson and their defense has never been in question. Michigan also needs the style points. – WIN
Illinois -5.5 at Rutgers – This is a hold your nose game, so I don’t know what I’m doing betting it. Rutgers is just one of the worst teams in college football and I think Lovie is turning things around in Champaign. I just saw this number and couldn’t resist firing on it. Illinois should win by at least a touchdown. – WIN
Texas +7 hosting Oklahoma – Oklahoma has been a little less than impressive so far this year. Their QB Kyler Murray is sensational, but their defense is questionable at best and they are 2-3 this year ATS. Texas plays a style of football that could give Oklahoma problems, similar to the Army game that went to OT. The underdog has covered in this rivalry more often than not, and I think a TD is too many points to be giving away in this game at Texas. – WIN
Florida +3 hosting LSU – LSU is overrated and Florida has a defense that can keep this close, or win the game outright with a score. The SEC is not my specialty, but from what I’ve heard from people smarter than me is that Florida should be favored in this one. – WIN
Baylor -4 hosting Kansas State – Kansas State is a mess and Baylor is quietly 3-2 and playing decent football. Just have a good feeling on this one, so probably a good time to go the other way. – LOSS
Iowa -7 at Minnesota – Iowa plays good defense and boring but somewhat productive offense. Meanwhile Minnesota is one of the least efficient offenses in college football and their defense just gave up 42 to Maryland. Also playing the Under 42. – LOSS
Arizona State +3 at Colorado – Advanced metrics have Arizona State as the better team, and that was enough for me to get on this underdog. – LOSS
Texas A&M -5.5 hosting Kentucky – A ranked Kentucky team is not something we see very often, and I think it’s leading to value on A&M. Kyle Field is one of the best home field advantages in college football, or so the extperts tell me. With Kentucky coming in ranked the fans should be pretty amped up. – WIN
Norte Dame -6.5 at Virginia Tech – Va Tech is overrated and I have to say I was wrong about ND. The last time I bet against them ND made the surprise switch at QB to Ian Book and haven’t looked back since. I think this may end up being an easy cover. – WIN
Overall: 6-3
The Square Bettor 