The Rams dominate, Cubs still a value and College Football Week 5 Picks

Well that was fun. Lester came through with 6 shutout innings as the Cubs cashed, winning 3-0. The Cubs are priced the exact same this afternoon, -156 at BetDSI and -160 at Bovada. Again, I see multiple edges going for the Cubs but the main one is the superiority on the mound between Kyle Hendricks and the very average Adam Wainwright. I’m definitely on the Cubs again today.

What was even more fun than the Cubs blanking the Pirates last night was how the Thursday Night Football game finally delivered a prime time worthy performance.

The Rams cannot be stopped. They were down their top two corners last night, which allowed Minnesota to stay in the game, but it was abundantly clear who the superior team was. The Rams did whatever they wanted to on offense. Aaron Donald dominated, and Ndamukong Suh even got in on the action.

I’m jealous of anyone who has a Rams super bowl ticket in their pocket. That number has plummeted from what it was just one month ago at +1000. Currently at +333, it’s probably smart to wait for their next loss and hope another team starts to look as complete as the Rams before buying. However, it’s really starting to look like there isn’t a team even close to as complete as LA. The Rams have without a doubt the best offense in the league and they have defensive playmakers that can get after the quarterback. That +333 actually doesn’t seem so bad.

Unfortunately, Greg the Leg Zuerlein is still injured and his replacement Sam Ficken missed an easy short FG in the fourth quarter that cost anyone who had Rams -7.

So after a 2-0 night, it’s time to fade my college picks.

Oklahoma State (3-1) -17 at Kansas (2-2) – Kansas winning games is a nice story for college football, but this team is not all of a sudden going to be able to pace Oklahoma State and stay within 9 points each half. Oklahoma State just got embarrassed at home by Texas Tech, they will be focused and take it out on the Jayhawks.

Boston College (3-1) -12 hosting Temple (2-2) – There was a lot of hype for BC and everyone was on board when they got off to a 3-0 start and cracked the top 25. Now after losing to Purdue and dropping out of the top 25, BC has suddenly lost it’s luster. I think they get back on track and will beat Temple, who is not very good, by at least two touchdowns.

Texas Tech (3-1) +4 hosting West Virginia (3-0) – WVU got it’s groove on last week hosting a weak Kansas State team, meanwhile Texas Tech was pulling off the 17-point outright upset at Oklahoma State. Now Tech takes that momentum back home to a stadium that should be fired up with the chance to take down the Mountaineers. Tech’s defense is coming around and it’s offense is never a question. I think they keep this game tight, and I like getting the 4-points in a close game at home.

Ohio State (4-0) -3.5 at Penn State (4-0) – The biggest game on the college slate this week and I can’t wait for this one to kick off. When Ohio State opened at -4.5 I very squarely placed a quick wager. To my eye, Ohio State is elite and Penn State was losing to Illinois at one point last week. Surprising to me, the line dropped as low as 3.5, which I again happily bought at. The line has continued to fluctuate but there should be a 3.5 available. I think this will be a double digit victory for Ohio State. Penn State has played no one, they almost lost to App State, routed a bad Pitt team, routed vaunted Kent State and gave up 24 to Illinois before piling on 63 points. The numbers for Penn State look impressive, but I think Ohio State is going to get up early and won’t look back.

 

 

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