College Football Picks Against the Spread – Week 4

penn state at sunset

Another weekend of college football is about to arrive tonight with the hugely anticipated Tulsa vs Temple showdown. It’ll continue on Friday night as USC takes on some team I can’t remember and then Saturday morning will be here before we know it. Before getting to the picks this week, I want to grade out the picks I gave out last week. Here’s how it looked:

  • Vandy +14 at Notre Dame – WINNER
  • OVER 64 Boise State at OK State – WINNER
  • OK State -2.5 hosting Boise State – WINNER
  • Washington -5 at Utah – WINNER
  • Pittsburgh +4  – WINNER
  • Army -7 hosting Hawaii – PUSH
  • Syracuse +3 hosting Florida State – WINNER
  • Middle Tennessee State +32.5 at Georgia – LOSS
  • TCU +14 vs Ohio State in Arlington, Texas – WINNER

I knew I had a good weekend but I had no idea that the two or three people reading this got such fantastic college betting advice. I’m sure my picks will all flop this week so as always, feel free to fade…

Wake Forest +8 hosting Notre Dame – Notre Dame is just overrated and the public loves to bet on them. From what I’ve heard, these two teams are pretty similar from a talent level. This game has been fluctuating between 7.5 and 8, I think the public could get it back to 8 but it may not be available for long. I still like it at 7.5.

Clemson -16.5 at Georgia Tech – Clemson failed to cover last week vs Georgia Southern and have been replaced from their #2 spot in the AP and Coach’s poll for the first time this season. This is all about Georgia Tech just not being very good. I see total domination coming from Clemson in this first conference game of the season.

Texas A&M +27 hosting Alabama – A&M has historically played Nick Saban’s Alabama teams tough, and this A&M team already gave Clemson a last second scare two weeks ago. I understand that Alabama now has an offense as scary as its defense, but this is a massive number to be laying on the road against a quality opponent. Bring it on Saban.

TCU -3 at Texas – TCU showed that they belong with the big boys last week nearly knocking off Ohio State if not for a couple of OSU defensive touchdowns. Texas is coming off their “big win” over the extremely overrated USC Trojans and the perception is that Texas has arrived as a legitimate team. TCU has obliterated Texas in all of their recent meetings and 3 points just does not seem like enough. I expect TCU to cover easily.

Missouri +15 points hosting Georgia – Georgia is the new #2 in the country and the money is piling on the favorite as this game has ballooned from a -10.5 opening spread up to the current number of 15. Missouri has a legitimate offense and Georgia’s defense has managed just ONE sack so far this year. They’re missing Roquan Smith and this defense is not nearly as good as last year’s. I’ll take the big number and the extra line value we have on a home dog.

Iowa +3 hosting Wisconsin – Another home dog in a huge game that the fans will be fired up for. Iowa pulls off a big upset every year at Kinnick Stadium and Wisconsin showed last week against BYU that they’re just not that good, losing the game outright. In what should be a close game, I’ll take the home team getting the points.

 

 

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